Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 4.744336 5.226743 5.740456 6.328852 6.984931 7.694855 8.522372
2025-12-14 3.796646 4.427816 5.143425 6.017321 7.059076 8.265253 9.773525
2025-12-21 3.203978 3.921927 4.780726 5.889306 7.290463 9.013074 11.307488
2025-12-28 2.851081 3.642310 4.634853 5.981447 7.776166 10.107348 13.399686
2026-01-04 2.569529 3.408646 4.506536 6.063853 8.241263 11.214955 15.647943
2026-01-11 2.315484 3.175409 4.343283 6.067071 8.583537 12.180577 17.815831
2026-01-18 2.084849 2.944697 4.151927 5.998579 8.801769 12.978807 19.829024
2026-01-25 1.885943 2.735499 3.964674 5.907034 8.963010 13.695103 21.793710
2026-02-01 1.716161 2.550305 3.790823 5.810683 9.095817 14.368448 23.761612
2026-02-08 1.569333 2.384633 3.628247 5.710134 9.202580 14.999807 25.727176
2026-02-15 1.455454 2.258740 3.513877 5.671494 9.400179 15.794158 28.071347
2026-02-22 1.380525 2.187227 3.477887 5.755464 9.809469 16.991103 31.303899
2026-03-01 1.284106 2.074518 3.367713 5.707278 9.990787 17.819824 33.995534
2026-03-08 1.181804 1.943657 3.216001 5.571338 9.998098 18.328280 36.132230
2026-03-15 1.107224 1.853607 3.125883 5.535866 10.186124 19.198599 39.136343
2026-03-22 1.066676 1.818974 3.128971 5.670856 10.713360 20.795584 43.934457
2026-03-29 1.025052 1.778814 3.118210 5.777525 11.194974 22.357624 48.906882
2026-04-05 0.974693 1.718750 3.065741 5.797448 11.501180 23.588041 53.315184
2026-04-12 0.918717 1.644020 2.979706 5.741995 11.642748 24.478034 57.053146
2026-04-19 0.864247 1.568080 2.885295 5.660294 11.718219 25.228210 60.566212
2026-04-26 0.813466 1.495520 2.791782 5.571532 11.767836 25.923630 64.053383
2026-05-03 0.766154 1.426371 2.699751 5.477343 11.794632 26.567512 67.512238
2026-05-10 0.728798 1.374164 2.637576 5.441470 11.950564 27.539626 72.034801